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  • Writer's pictureROHIT SHAH

Finance : FoodSeedTech Accelerator VS Angel Investment




Assumptions Based on Industry Norms and Data


Startup Success Rate:

  • For individual startups, the success rate is generally around 10% Reference : https://www.failory.com/blog/startup-failure-rate

  • For startups in well-run accelerators, the success rate can go up to 30-40% Reference : https://hbr.org/2016/03/what-startup-accelerators-really-do

ROI Expectations:

  • For a single startup investment, a 10x return is often cited as optimistic but possible over 3-5 years Reference :

  • Accelerators generally target an ROI of approximately 5x to 10x within a shorter period given the rapid scaling and exit focus (source).

Case I :Investing $350,000 Directly into a Single Startup


Equity Stake: For $350,000, let's assume an investor can get a 15% stake in a startup.

  1. Potential Returns: $3.5 Million (10x of $350,000) if the startup is one of the 10% that succeeds.

  2. Risk: A 90% chance of losing the entire $350,000 investment.

Case II : Investing $350,000 into FoodSeedTech Accelerator

  1. Equity Stake: $17,500 invested per startup with a 0.75% stake in each of the 20 startups in the cohort.

  2. Potential Returns: Given the 30-40% success rate in accelerators, let's say 7 out of the 20 startups succeed with a conservative 5x return.

  • 7 startups x $87,500 (5x of $17,500) = $612,500

  1. Administrative Fee: 2% of $350,000 is $7,000.

  2. Net Return: $612,500 - $7,000 (Admin Fee) = $605,500

  3. Risk: Lower than individual startup investment, thanks to portfolio diversification.

Comparative Metrics


Speed to Series A or Exit:

  • Single Startup: Generally 3-5 years

  • Accelerator: Often under 18 months Reference : https://hbr.org/2016/03/what-startup-accelerators-really-do

Risk Mitigation:

  • Single Startup: High (90% failure rate).

  • Accelerator: Moderate to Low .

ROI:

  • Single Startup: Up to $3.5 Million (10x return, 10% success chance).

  • Accelerator: Up to $605,500 (Less than 2x return, but 30-40% success rate across portfolio).

Post Series A or Exit:

  • If a startup fails to exit at Series A, staying invested in a single startup could lead to prolonged illiquidity. In contrast, an accelerator can reinvest in new cohorts, offering more avenues for potential success.

Conclusion


While investing in a single startup offers the lure of potentially higher returns, the associated risk is also significantly greater. On the other hand, investing through an accelerator like FoodSeedTech provides risk diversification, a higher probability of returns due to a higher startup success rate, and quicker paths to liquidity. Given your focus on market demand and scalability, along with mentorship from industry veterans, the accelerator offers a compelling package that significantly mitigates risk while offering respectable returns.

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